From Sean Jones: Paulie Malignaggi says Deontay Wilder has almost no chance of beating Tyson Fury without a lucky punch next month in her trilogy match on July 24th.
Former two-division world champion Malignaggi thinks it’s a crazy idea for Wilder (42-1-1, 41 KOs) to take on this fight, given what happened to him in the last fight against Fury (30-0-1, 21 KOs) in February 2020.
Malignaggi says the slapping rage given to Wilder may have taken something out of him and left a lesser fighter for the third match.
Wilder has convinced himself that Fury cheated with the gloves and the rabbit lashes he landed. He also believes he was less than 100% because of the ring walk costume he wore when walking to the ring.
Wilder’s inability to fight while walking backwards and the likely 40 pound weight he will give up are factors that play in Fury’s favor for the third, and possibly final, fight between the two.
With the payday that Wilder will get for the third fight, you can’t blame him for taking the contract issue to an arbitrator when Fury was trying to get out of the contract they had.
It was a foolish mistake on the part of Fury and his promoter to believe they could withdraw from a contract with Wilder.
It cost Fury a lot of money to fight Anthony Joshua in Saudi Arabia on August 14th.
Fury can still save the Joshua fight if he defeats Wilder, but it’s unclear whether Saudi will still be interested in spending huge bucks on a site fee after the Fury and team fiasco. Wilder will try to destroy any chance Fury has of facing Joshua later this year.
Wilder has to convince himself that he can win
“I think Wilder has the right approach,” Paulie Malignaggi told The Schmo of Wilder’s trilogy match with Fury. “You have to be kind of in denial if you want to take up this fight.
“You can’t think about it negatively. You need to convince yourself that it was everyone else’s fault and that Fury cheated.
“You have to convince yourself, with all this stuff, that people aren’t taking you seriously, but you have to do it to put yourself in the best position mentally to win the fight.
“I said that, and I have no problem with it. If Wilder is crazy enough to take this fight all over again, I think he has the right mental approach.
“He has to do it that way because if you go into battle with any doubts, you will only harm yourself. That doesn’t mean I think Wilder will win the fight, ”said Malignaggi.
Every fighter has to convince themselves that they can win a fight, not just Wilder.
In Wilder’s case, he really believes that he wasn’t 100% for the Fury fight last time because of the ringwalk costume and a biceps injury he sustained at training camp.
You have to take Wilder at his word, because when he says he wasn’t 100% it’s stupid to say he was wrong about what Malignaggi seems to be saying.
Malignaggi: Fury will eviscerate Deontay
“I think Wilder will be absolutely gutted in the fight,” said Malignaggi. “I think it gets smoked so much that it is never the same again because it was in a tough fight the second time around.
“The first time I thought Fury passed him. The second time around, he was hit hard and that will usually change a lot of guys in general.
“If you ask for that kind of beating again, I won’t see where he’s going. Here is the thing. Wilder doesn’t know how to fight backwards. You won’t figure out how to fight backwards.
“You are not going to change mentally, psychologically, or physically to the point where you will figure out how to fight this backward-looking guy. Fury will support you.
“As soon as Fury supports you, he will bully you. Fury comes from a culture where they really support this masculine force. Gypsies have a naked ankle culture in their culture.
“You raise men like that. Fighting is part of their culture, part of their personality and part of their DNA, ”said Malignaggi.
It’s reasonable to assume that Fury will force him into submission in the trilogy when Wilder fights like last time.
What we saw in the second fight was Fury Wilder going down, going in, and clubbing him.
What Fury showed is that Wilder has no power inside and he has no game once his opponents can get into a safe zone.
Fury will obviously be trying to get close all night knowing he can’t stay out against Wilder. After all, it’s too risky. If Fury can get in, he can use his 270-pound frame to rough up Wilder and slowly tire him.
Wilder cannot fight to secure himself
“None of these BSs that Wilder preaches over and over again to advance the issue of race and advance the issue of fraud or Mark Breland has been a traitor issue,” Malignaggi said.
“None of this will matter to Tyson Fury. He’s going to play a game plan against you, and I don’t think Wilder can handle that kind of opponent.
“I don’t think Wilder knows how to fight backing away; there is no shot. If he proves me wrong, he’ll have more power. But what will happen when you start getting support from Fury again and he beats you up and you can’t claim a white privilege.
“Fury is no bigger than you because of his white privilege. Fury is bigger than you because he’s a bigger guy genetically and he knows how to fight like that.
“So for me, I just want to make sure I am not misunderstood. I think Wilder is true to himself by having this denial mentality. And I think he’s denying it.
“I think he absolutely denies because, like I said, I think he’s going to get the living shit out of him. But he can’t go into battle and think what I’m saying.
“He can’t go. Otherwise he cannot do that. The fight is pointless. I have no problem with the fact that he goes into battle like that.
“I have a problem with the fact that every second he brings up the racing problem that I have a problem with. But I have no problem with anything else. He has to deal with it or not, ”said Malignaggi.
If you look at Wilder’s training with his trainer Malik Scott, it seems he won’t give in to Fury on belaying terms.
We see Wilder use sideways movements that he didn’t use in his first two fights with Fury.
If Wilder can pull off a sideways move against Fury, it doesn’t matter if the British heavyweight comes forward at over 270 pounds all night. He has to deal with the fact that Wilder meets him from different angles.
Malignaggi likely didn’t pay attention to Wilder’s training with Malik, so you can understand why he forms his minds based on his first two fights with Fury.
He clearly believes Wilder is too committed to change for this fight and he might be right.
It’s up to Wilder to show if he can change his fighting style for the third fight as he may have to do so if he can’t take out Fury with a straight right side while coming straight to him.